Following the Grammys, there's a lot of speculation as to how the numbers may play out at retail. Keep your eyes peeled for an update tomorrow, once we’ve seen a full day of sales. It's safe to say, though, with a performance on the big show under her belt and the power of Valentine's Day-driven purchasing, XL/Columbia's Adele will be #1.

Joey+Rory—a respected country duo (and spouses), who were just nominated for Best Duo/Group Country Vocal Performance—look like they'll have the highest-charting debut this week. The couple's well-documented personal struggles have elicited a strong response from their fans and community.

Adele (XL/Columbia) 160-180k album, 190-210k SPS
Chris Stapleton (Mercury Nashville) 55-60k, 63-68k
Justin Bieber (RBMG/Def Jam) 45-50k, 95-100k
*Joey+Rory (Gaither) 43-48k, 46-51k
Now 57 (NOW/Legacy) 41-46k
Rihanna (Westbury Road/Roc Nation) 35-40k, 75-80k
The Weeknd (XO/Republic) 28-32k, 53-58k
2016 Grammy Nominees (Republic) 27-30k
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 27-30k, 40-45k
Kendrick Lamar (TDE/Interscope) 24-27k, 30-35k
Sam Hunt (MCA Nashville) 24-27k, 35-40k
Coldplay (Parlophone) 21-24k, 28-33k
Twenty One Pilots (Fueled By Ramen) 19-21k, 43-48k
Kevin Gates (Bread Winner’s Association) 19-21k, 30-35k
Adele (XL/Columbia) 17-19k, 23-26k [21]

*Debut